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UCLA Anderson Forecast presents
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SAN DIEGO 2011 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
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Regional Breakfast Series
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Speakers Bios |
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Jerry Nickelsburg, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Jerry Nickelsburg joined the UCLA Anderson Forecast in 2006 as a Senior Economist. At the Anderson Forecast he plays a key role in the economic modeling and forecasting of the National, and California economies and the Los Angeles, Bay Area and Southern California economies. He has conducted special studies into the future of manufacturing in Los Angeles, the distribution of income, the economic impact of the writer’s strike, the aerospace industry, the undocumented construction and manufacturing labor force, the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach and the garment industry, focusing on the development of new data and the application of economic theory and statistical methods to sectoral issues. His current academic research is on organizational and individual learning in manufacturing , and on the balance of trade. He is a regular presenter at Economic Conferences and has been cited in the national and local media including the Financial Times, Wall Street Jounal, New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Reuters, Variety, CBS, NBC, PBS, and L.A. Business Journal.
He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Minnesota in 1980 specializing in monetary economics and econometrics. He was formerly a professor of Economics at the University of Southern California and has held executive positions with McDonnell Douglas, Flight Safety International, and Flight Safety Boeing during a fifteen year span in the aviation business. He also held a position with the Federal Reserve Board of Governors developing forecasting tools, and has advised banks, investors and financial institutions.
From 2000 to 2006, he was the Managing Principal of Deep Blue Economics, a consulting firm he founded. He has been the recipient of the Korda Fellowship, USC Outstanding Teacher, India Chamber of Commerce Jubilee Lecturer and is a Fulbright Scholar. He has published over 40 articles on monetary economics, econometrics, aviation economics, and industrial organization.
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William Yu, Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
William Yu joined the UCLA Anderson Forecast in 2011 as an economist. At Forecast he focuses on the economic modeling and forecasting of Los Angeles and other regional economies in California. He also conducts research and forecast on Asian emerging economies, especially China, and their impacts on the US economy. His research interests include a wide range of economic and financial issues, such as time series econometrics, stock, bond and commodity price dynamics, public health, human capital, higher education, and economic sustainability. He has published over a dozen research articles in Journal of Forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Health Care Finance, Journal of Education Finance, Economic Affairs, and Global Economic Review, etc. He has also served as a reviewer for various journals, such as Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Journal of Banking and Finance, Japan and the World Economy, and Energy Journal, etc.
He received his bachelor’s degree in finance from National Taiwan University in 1995 and was an analyst in Fubon Financial Holding in Taipei from 1997 to 2000. In 2006, he received his Ph.D. degree in economics from the University of Washington where he was also an economics instructor and won two distinguished teaching awards. In 2006, he worked for the Frank Russell Investment Group for Treasury and corporate yields modeling and forecasting. From 2006 to 2011, he served as an assistant and an associate professor of economics at Winona State University where he taught courses including international economics, forecasting methods, intermediate macroeconomics, introductory macroeconomics, money and banking, and Asian economies. He also served on the board of directors for the Minnesota Economic Association from 2007 to 2010.
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David L. Osias, Partner, Allen Matkins
David L. Osias is Managing Partner of Allen Matkins and maintains his office in San Diego. His practice has two distinct focuses: Bankruptcy & Creditors' Rights and Water Resources.
Widely recognized as an authority on creditor and debtor rights in out-of-court workouts and restructurings, federal and state-court receiverships, and reorganization and liquidation bankruptcy proceedings, David represents a broad range of clients. Creditors typically are secured lenders and landlords, while debtors encompass a diverse spectrum of business enterprises. David also represents bankruptcy trustees and examiners, as well as official creditors committees. He has served as the court-appointed examiner in a multi-million dollar bankruptcy case, and has been designated as an expert witness in a variety of cases. David also represents federal equity receivers in numerous cases throughout California, Washington and Oregon involving more than $1.6 billion in fraudulent investments.
He received his B.S. from the University of California, Davis where he graduated with honors and obtained his J.D. from the University of California, Berkeley School of Law.
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Ryan Ratcliff, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of San Diego
Ryan Ratcliff joined the faculty of the University of San Diego in 2008 as an assistant professor specializing in forecasting and macroeconomics. His research interests include the formation and updating of macroeconomic expectations, linkages between financial markets and the macroeconomy, state and regional economic forecasting, and the macroeconomic impact of housing cycles.
Prior to coming to USD, Professor Ratcliff spent three years at the renowned UCLA Anderson Forecast, where he was the primary author of the quarterly forecast for California, as well as numerous other reports on local economic forecasts and regional housing markets. He is widely quoted in the national and local press as an expert on the California economy and local housing markets, and is a sought-after speaker for briefing local business leaders on recent economic developments.
Professor Ratcliff has also worked in market research and applications development at the Franklin-Templeton family of mutual funds, as a market analyst on the U.S. Treasury’s Mexico Task Force, and as a compliance researcher at the Frankfurt headquarters of Deutsche Bank.
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Alan Gin, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of San Diego
Alan Gin is Associate Professor of Economics at the University of San Diego. He received a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics from California Polytechnic State University at San Luis Obispo, and his Master's of Arts and Ph.D. degrees, both in Economics, from the University of California at Santa Barbara. His work experience includes stints with the Community Development Department of the County of Fresno and the Public Works Department of the City of Oxnard.
Professor Gin came to the University of San Diego in 1988, after having previous taught at Loyola Marymount University and the University of California at Santa Barbara. He has taught undergraduate courses in Principles of Economics, Statistics, Intermediate Microeconomics, Urban Economics, Public Finance, Environmental Economics, Industrial Organization, Managerial Economics, and the Economic Development of Asia. Graduate-level courses taught include Statistics, Quantitative Methods, Managerial Economics, the Business Environment of Asia, and Doing Business with China. In 2001, he was awarded the USD Parents' Association Award of Excellence after being nominated by one of his students. He was voted "Professor of the Year" by the graduate business students at USD for the 2002 - 2003 academic year.
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